Paytm crosses ₹1,000; charts overbought 24

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By Waqas Umer

The scrip of Paytm, which is the listing by the name of the parent firm One97 Communications, touched a 52-week high on Monday after its wholly-owned subsidiary One97 Communications Singapore Pvt Ltd (Paytm Singapore) offered SARs in PayPay Corporation of Japan to SoftBank Vision Fund 2 for a net cash consideration of JPY 41.9 billion (approximately Rs 2,364 crore).

Paytm

On Monday Paytm shares increased by 3.19%to Rs 1007 after the previously closing at Rs 975.80 on the BSE. The market capitalization of Paaytm touched at Rs 62,923 crore on the BSE level. Together 1.99 lakh shares of the firm were exchanged, for a turnover of Rs 19.86 crore. The stock was trading at a 52-week low of Rs 310 on May 9, 2024. 

The stock has appreciated by 52% in a year and this has followed a 53 per cent appreciation in 2024. It has a beta of 0.8, which means it moves in a low volatile manner in the course of the year.

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As for technicals, India’s RSI has now moved to 72.7 and Paaytm is indicating to be in the oversold region. Paytm is presently quoting above the five-day, ten-day, twenty-day, thirty-day, fifty-day, hundred-day, one-hundred and fifty-day, and two-hundred-day moving averages.

The deal which may close by December 2024 is subject to the satisfaction of several variances such as the corporates’ approval of the proposed transaction as well as the signing of transaction papers among other standard closing factors.

The funds from this sale will go directly to increase Paaytm’s consolidated cash pool for investment in future endeavors that could enhance shareholder value.

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Paytm Singapore spokesperson said, “Many thanks to Masayoshi-san & the PayPay team for such a wonderful chance to build the future of mobile payments in Japan.” We stand absolutely ready and are willing to back PayPay’s product and technology developments in the future. It is in the pipeline to develop even more AI-integrated functionalities to enhance PayPay’s vision in Japan.”

FAQs

1. Why did Paaytm shares cross the Rs 1,000 mark?

Brokerage Upgrades: Several global brokerages, such as UBS and Bernstein, have increased their target prices for Paaytm to around Rs 1,000, citing improved business metrics.
Financial Performance: Paaytm reported strong revenue growth and a reduction in losses, signaling operational improvements.
Investor Sentiment: Regulatory clarity and business growth have boosted investor confidence, driving demand for the stock.

2. What does it mean for a stock to be overbought?

A stock is considered overbought when its price has risen sharply over a short period, often beyond its intrinsic value.
Technical Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is commonly used to identify overbought stocks. An RSI above 70 typically indicates overbought conditions.

3. Why is Paytm stock described as overbought?

When Paaytm shares surged toward Rs 1,000, technical indicators like the RSI suggested an overbought state. For instance: Paaytm’s RSI crossed 70 during recent rallies, a sign of excessive buying momentum.
Such conditions often precede price corrections, as investors may begin to sell to lock in profits.

4. What should investors do when a stock is overbought?

Monitor Indicators: Watch technical factors like RSI and volume trends for signs of a reversal.
Review Fundamentals: Check if the stock’s price aligns with its long-term value.
Exercise Caution: Avoid impulsive buying during overbought phases; instead, wait for potential corrections.

5. Is the Rs 1,000 level sustainable for Paytm shares?

The sustainability of Paaytm’s share price depends on Its ability to continue improving financial performance.
Broader market conditions and investor sentiment.
Ongoing regulatory and competitive developments.
Analysts believe that while the rally reflects optimism, high valuations warrant cautious optimism.

6. Should new investors buy Paytm shares now?

Consider Timing: Entering at high levels could be risky, especially during overbought conditions.
Long-term View: For long-term investors, the focus should be on the company’s growth potential and market fundamentals.
Seek Advice: Consult a financial advisor to align the investment decision with personal risk tolerance.

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